 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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f1bd5daf62
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MATRIX.md: item 32 row + final architecture verdict
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-18 02:10:40 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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21b605c13a
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item 32 scored: latent paper net-harmful — TF 20.3 (exposure catastrophe), ST 27.0 (quantization noise), analog 39.1 wins; loop=plan-machine / tokens=executor division final; architecture tree closed
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-18 02:10:02 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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f0b7942c7a
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item 32 pre-registered (Nils's synthesis): discrete latent chain — lens-snapped token embeddings fed back via zero-init projector (ST top-32, TF/free-running arms, frozen arm-1 merge); sym_iterate in carry_common, trainer/eval wiring
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-18 00:16:08 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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3db6dd8fef
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MATRIX.md: full item 1-31 results matrix (arcs, positives, walls, open threads); overview PDF v3 updated with items 29-31 finals
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 21:24:13 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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7ac7f9651a
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item 31 scored: KV-memory flat (39.5 vs 39.1, p=1.0); all gates unmoved at -10 — vanishing-gradient init confound recorded; -3 rerun is the loose thread
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 21:04:46 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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96afac769e
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item 30 scored: readiness strongly decodable (AUC 0.80) but NOT recurrence-specific (FF 0.79); early-stop loses everywhere, oracle only +3.9 — head is instrumentation, not a stopping lever; extension/deferral gating stays live
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 20:04:06 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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64a20750bd
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item 29 complete: trajectory TF = adapter training signal for hybrid regimes (39.1, p=0.045), not an internalization mechanism (job 2 answer-only 15.6 < 19.1 plateau; FR term harmful)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 14:46:54 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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b18ffbd739
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item 31 pre-registered (Nils's design): synthetic memory tokens — burst states → per-band-layer KV prefix via KVMemoryAdapter (in-place attention wrap, bit-exact disarmed, gated silent init); composed with frozen item-29 arm-1; +29 tf+fr in-flight note (30.5, FR term hurts)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 13:25:25 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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11604d0949
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item 30 pre-registered (Nils's design): carried state as metacognitive signal — answer-readiness head on L30 at line boundaries, carry-vs-FF AUC as primary, theta sweep + oracle stop via item-20 LUT methodology
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 12:57:05 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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c7167d512f
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overview PDF v2: add the prior arc (items 1-20) — retrofit discovery, band-location/anchor ablations, adapter-class factorial, transfer ladder, GSM boundary, gate program
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 12:36:38 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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3e02c6e24e
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INTERNALIZATION_OVERVIEW.pdf: program overview items 21-29 (architecture, ladder+controls, microscopy, lens-supervision series, trajectory TF result, conclusions & open moves)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 12:33:29 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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add87cdd72
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item 29 arm 1: FIRST SIGNIFICANT POSITIVE — 39.1 (p=0.045 paired), every bucket a d=1 record; ablation 8-8 p=1.0 reattributes the gain: trajectory TF is a training signal for the adapter, not an inference loop
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 12:24:18 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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f1e6a628eb
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item 29 pre-registered (Nils's design): trajectory teacher-forcing — 10 waypoint transitions supervised independently (T[i-1]→T[i]), TF and TF+FR arms; job 1 d=1 step-span, job 2 answer-only full-CoT span
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 10:34:44 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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deae500ad0
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item 26 scored: staging supervision actively harmful (24.2 alone, 15.6 combined) — blanket pre-'=' forcing corrupts the board's just-in-time schedule; overnight program complete, items 25-28 all scored
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 07:18:09 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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1af6cb5e45
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item 28 scored: distillation succeeded (cos 0.113→0.044), function didn't follow — 30.1 matched / 29.7 ablated, easy damaged to 48.3; state-side supervision 2x2 complete and uniformly null; read-side clamp is item 29 candidate
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 03:41:43 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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67f9c3091c
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item 27 scored: 34.0 best-in-series with zero pauses, but paired ns (burst 10-6 p=0.45; vs positional 44-38 p=0.58) — ceiling holds; pause tape confirmed ~worthless (ablation 32.4)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 02:12:54 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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6542f80339
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item 28 job: fix eval tags to ts50
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 00:46:57 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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bbf8a02c6b
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item 28 pre-registered (Nils's variant): teacher-state distillation — frozen full-cot teacher's band-exit state at step end, cosine into burst s^10; λ amended 1.0→5.0 pre-run (smoke: baseline cos-dist 0.113)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 00:46:19 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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62ce30e557
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item 25 closed (truncated): writing is not computing — lce 1.9 with 2:12 flat at 31.2 (log-only; eval json never written due to kill); λ=1.0 arm cancelled; item 27 promoted
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 00:25:32 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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44e814e78c
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item 27 pre-registered: zero-pause internal band looping — single M=10 in-place burst at prompt end, iteration-aligned lens targets, ii0 inference ablation; carry_steps gains inplace updates, trainer gains --inner-iters/--base-pauses
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-17 00:21:20 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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0cffce876b
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item 26 pre-registered: result-staging lens supervision at pre-'=' positions (no causal leakage — low loss requires computation); arms lg03 and lt03+lg03; item-25 in-flight note (lce 10.3→2.3)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 23:23:13 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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64abfe66f3
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item 25 pre-registered: latent process supervision via differentiable lens readout — pause j trained to lens-encode deleted-step token j (λ=0.3/1.0 arms); carry_logits gains return_states
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 23:03:56 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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f31e6e7e30
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item 24 closed (stopped by Nils): trainable band doesn't improve fit either; E2-L internalization line closed on all four axes; LoopLoRA k=0 bit-exactness validated in passing
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 22:55:10 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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fe89820e64
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item 24 pre-registered: d=1 retry with loop-only band-LoRA r=16 (4.8M params, whole band, k=0 bit-exact); trainer/eval gain --bandlora; smoke-tested train+eval
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 21:44:01 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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7a141948fa
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item 23 scored: both control axes confirm — pp30 29.3 (within ±5 of 31.6, 3x pauses bought nothing), x600 no recovery; d=1 ceiling is structural, ladder chapter closed
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 20:08:54 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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46b5e1b802
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whiteboard microscopy on hard(795)/drop(430) specimens: FF slips at the 3-term sum (155), carry re-expands and defers (165 ✓); boards show live continuation-plan vs premature digit-commit at identical prefixes
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 19:48:58 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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f143c67b3d
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probe_discount: single-prompt whiteboard microscopy (lens table + digit probs, carry vs FF control) on the 80/15% problem
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 19:14:23 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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001a4ca5f3
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item 23 pre-registered: d=1 ceiling controls (x600 undertrain arm, pp30 pause-bandwidth arm, +-5pt decision rule); trainer gains --tag-suffix
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 16:27:54 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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7d60f37cf1
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item 22 scored: ladder breaks at d=1 (57.4->31.6), plateaus ~19 at d=2/3 — 2x cold floor (d=3 vs base McNemar p=0.0025); latent loop trades easy reliability for hard/drop reach
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 15:29:42 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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4e744e7d94
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26B-A4B lens mapped: 30 layers (not 48), same early-persist/terminal-motor family as E4B+31B; patched save delivered full regimes.pt incl. per-layer ignition; 5-scale figure complete
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 11:03:38 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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20f7014f5b
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item 22 pre-registered: E2-L rung B internalization ladder (front-first deletion, 10 pauses/step, warm-started d=1..3); trainer gains --drop-steps/--warm-start/--steps/--lr; smoke-tested 2 steps on Spark
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 10:13:01 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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272a7b1d1f
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31B regimes parsed (early persist bump L7-16, motor only terminal — E2B signature absent, matches E4B); exp4_regimes.py takes explicit out path / defaults next to input jbar (fix pushed to node before 26B stage)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 09:54:52 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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34497b8835
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item 21 McNemar scored: drop-bucket edge significant (2:6 p=0.0094, survives Bonferroni x4); overall A-vs-B ns; + session handoff, fig cleanup
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 09:49:21 +02:00 |
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Nils
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051e90e805
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item 21: GSM carry-cot 57.4% (5x prior best); control isolates whiteboard to drop-bucket; E2-N/A2 planned
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2026-07-16 09:40:23 +02:00 |
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Nils
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1618c206ae
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item 20 scored; item 21 (GSM carry-CoT + control) pre-registered and queued
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2026-07-16 02:42:46 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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4b9e168838
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item 20: gate threshold curve + oracle bound (probs pass, merge per-item LUT, offline sweep)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 02:03:12 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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74f04d124f
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node_bootstrap.sh v2: one-command node setup encoding every paid-for lesson (workspace-only, snapshot pinning, credential-aware sync, contract workers, graceful stop) + gpuq_presign for credential-less nodes
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 01:51:44 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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21908a0e33
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E1c scored: easy routing solved (95.9% at 0.11 iters), hard recall regressed; threshold calibration = identified next knob
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 01:48:14 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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a643b4a146
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E4B regime artifacts (registry row, diagnostics, scan log, updated figure)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 01:36:57 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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332f7f3622
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E4B regime map (ckpt-salvaged, 150 prompts): no clear workspace signature — sensor L11-22, motor from L23, persistence bump absent; candidate band inside KV-shared zone
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 01:35:38 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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dec27a4017
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gpuq worker: STOP sentinel for graceful drain (never kill mid-job again)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 01:21:00 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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550d5cbe56
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gpuq data contract: declarative per-job in/out sync (pull inputs, push outputs every 120s + at exit), gpuq_sync.sh helper
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-16 01:17:33 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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684e793eef
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E1c: k*=0 routing + pre-loop halt target (item 19 scored, E1c pre-registered)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-15 23:51:44 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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f2a48ce338
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E1b trainer: label-supervised halting head on frozen merge (item 19)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-15 23:43:37 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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dafbd8fd25
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item 18 scored (uniform-depth collapse, CE depth-flatness mechanism); item 19 E1b pre-registered
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-15 23:42:31 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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ba95d2aa3d
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item 18 amendment: E1 arms moved to 4xH100 parallel + seed-1 arm added (pre-results)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-15 23:28:38 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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357a5add06
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E1 halting-gate machinery (adapter, trainer, gated eval) + pre-registration item 18
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-15 23:00:39 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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5f58bc8aed
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PLAN_SELFPACED.md: v2 prototype plan for learned workspace-compute gating (E0 numbers grounded, E1-E3 pre-registered)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-15 22:50:35 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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600f965247
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regimes figure: sensor/workspace/motor shading restored (rule-derived, matches original hand-shaded bands)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-15 22:09:09 +02:00 |
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 NilsandClaude Fable 5
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dc43769118
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fig_regimes.py: reproducible cross-model depth-regimes figure (E2B+12B filled, 3 scans pending)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2026-07-15 22:05:29 +02:00 |
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