"""Phase diagram of frozen-band recurrence: dynamics dial vs fidelity. x: spectral radius rho(A) of the trained state map (log scale) y: substrate fidelity = easy-bucket pass@1 at k=4 (free-running generation) label: hard-bucket pass@1 at k=4 (the gain every regime buys) All points: same frozen E2B band, same data, same 250-item eval, e400. """ from pathlib import Path import matplotlib matplotlib.use("Agg") import matplotlib.pyplot as plt OUT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent / "results-loop" # name rho easy hard color # name rho(plot x) easy hard color dy PTS = [ ("untrained α-merge\n(training-free)", 0.38, 0.885, 0.143, "#8a8f98", 16), ("trained merge\n(anchored B, curriculum)", 0.29, 0.885, 0.464, "#2b6cb0", -60), ("Parcae rec\n(ρ<1 enforced, learned B)", 0.292, 0.713, 0.429, "#2f855a", -58), ("unconstrained rec\n(learned A,B)", 4.5, 0.697, 0.393, "#c53030", 16), ] # untrained merge x offset for visibility (true rho = 0.30) fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(7.6, 5.2)) ax.set_xscale("log") ax.axvspan(1.0, 20, color="#fff5f5", zorder=0) ax.axvline(1.0, color="#c53030", lw=1.2, ls="--") ax.text(1.06, 0.99, "ρ = 1 stability boundary", rotation=90, fontsize=8, color="#c53030", va="top") ax.text(3.1, 0.615, "norm projection converts\nexplosion → stationary churn\n" "(training survives, substrate pays)", fontsize=8, color="#c53030", ha="center") for name, rho, easy, hard, c, dy in PTS: ax.scatter(rho, easy, s=90 + 900 * hard, color=c, alpha=0.85, zorder=3, edgecolor="white", linewidth=1.5) ax.annotate(f"{name}\nhard {hard:.0%}", (rho, easy), textcoords="offset points", xytext=(0, dy), ha="center", fontsize=8.5, color=c) ax.annotate("", xy=(0.278, 0.735), xytext=(0.288, 0.862), arrowprops=dict(arrowstyle="->", color="#2f855a", lw=1.3)) ax.text(0.42, 0.79, "learned B + no curriculum:\nfixed point leaves the\n" "substrate manifold", fontsize=8, color="#2f855a", ha="left") ax.set_xlim(0.2, 12) ax.set_ylim(0.58, 1.0) ax.set_xlabel("ρ(A) — spectral radius of the trained state map (dynamics dial)") ax.set_ylabel("substrate fidelity — easy-bucket pass@1 at k=4") ax.set_title("Frozen-band recurrence phase diagram: stability ≠ fidelity\n" "(marker size ∝ hard-bucket gain; every regime buys the same " "~40–46%, only one keeps the substrate)", fontsize=10.5) ax.grid(True, color="#ececec", lw=0.7, which="both") ax.set_axisbelow(True) for s in ("top", "right"): ax.spines[s].set_visible(False) fig.text(0.13, -0.06, "Same frozen gemma-4-E2B band (L14–30), same MBPP data, same " "250-item eval, e400 checkpoints. ρ from checkpoints (power " "iteration / diag max). Dynamics (x) and fixed-point location " "(y) are independent dials: contraction guarantees convergence " "and certified tail gradients, but only anchored content — fixed " "B=(1−α)I, zero-init correction, difficulty→depth curriculum — " "keeps the fixed point substrate-preserving.", fontsize=7.5, color="#555", wrap=True) fig.tight_layout() fig.savefig(OUT / "fig_phase.png", dpi=140, facecolor="white", bbox_inches="tight") print("wrote", OUT / "fig_phase.png")