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42 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
NilsandClaude Fable 5 67f9c3091c item 27 scored: 34.0 best-in-series with zero pauses, but paired ns (burst 10-6 p=0.45; vs positional 44-38 p=0.58) — ceiling holds; pause tape confirmed ~worthless (ablation 32.4) 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-17 02:12:54 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 bbf8a02c6b item 28 pre-registered (Nils's variant): teacher-state distillation — frozen full-cot teacher's band-exit state at step end, cosine into burst s^10; λ amended 1.0→5.0 pre-run (smoke: baseline cos-dist 0.113) 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-17 00:46:19 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 62ce30e557 item 25 closed (truncated): writing is not computing — lce 1.9 with 2:12 flat at 31.2 (log-only; eval json never written due to kill); λ=1.0 arm cancelled; item 27 promoted 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-17 00:25:32 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 44e814e78c item 27 pre-registered: zero-pause internal band looping — single M=10 in-place burst at prompt end, iteration-aligned lens targets, ii0 inference ablation; carry_steps gains inplace updates, trainer gains --inner-iters/--base-pauses 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-17 00:21:20 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 0cffce876b item 26 pre-registered: result-staging lens supervision at pre-'=' positions (no causal leakage — low loss requires computation); arms lg03 and lt03+lg03; item-25 in-flight note (lce 10.3→2.3) 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-16 23:23:13 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 64abfe66f3 item 25 pre-registered: latent process supervision via differentiable lens readout — pause j trained to lens-encode deleted-step token j (λ=0.3/1.0 arms); carry_logits gains return_states 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-16 23:03:56 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 f31e6e7e30 item 24 closed (stopped by Nils): trainable band doesn't improve fit either; E2-L internalization line closed on all four axes; LoopLoRA k=0 bit-exactness validated in passing 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-16 22:55:10 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 fe89820e64 item 24 pre-registered: d=1 retry with loop-only band-LoRA r=16 (4.8M params, whole band, k=0 bit-exact); trainer/eval gain --bandlora; smoke-tested train+eval 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-16 21:44:01 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 7a141948fa item 23 scored: both control axes confirm — pp30 29.3 (within ±5 of 31.6, 3x pauses bought nothing), x600 no recovery; d=1 ceiling is structural, ladder chapter closed 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-16 20:08:54 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 001a4ca5f3 item 23 pre-registered: d=1 ceiling controls (x600 undertrain arm, pp30 pause-bandwidth arm, +-5pt decision rule); trainer gains --tag-suffix 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-16 16:27:54 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 7d60f37cf1 item 22 scored: ladder breaks at d=1 (57.4->31.6), plateaus ~19 at d=2/3 — 2x cold floor (d=3 vs base McNemar p=0.0025); latent loop trades easy reliability for hard/drop reach 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-16 15:29:42 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 20f7014f5b item 22 pre-registered: E2-L rung B internalization ladder (front-first deletion, 10 pauses/step, warm-started d=1..3); trainer gains --drop-steps/--warm-start/--steps/--lr; smoke-tested 2 steps on Spark 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-16 10:13:01 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 34497b8835 item 21 McNemar scored: drop-bucket edge significant (2:6 p=0.0094, survives Bonferroni x4); overall A-vs-B ns; + session handoff, fig cleanup 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-16 09:49:21 +02:00
Nils 051e90e805 item 21: GSM carry-cot 57.4% (5x prior best); control isolates whiteboard to drop-bucket; E2-N/A2 planned 2026-07-16 09:40:23 +02:00
Nils 1618c206ae item 20 scored; item 21 (GSM carry-CoT + control) pre-registered and queued 2026-07-16 02:42:46 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 4b9e168838 item 20: gate threshold curve + oracle bound (probs pass, merge per-item LUT, offline sweep) 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-16 02:03:12 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 21908a0e33 E1c scored: easy routing solved (95.9% at 0.11 iters), hard recall regressed; threshold calibration = identified next knob 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-16 01:48:14 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 684e793eef E1c: k*=0 routing + pre-loop halt target (item 19 scored, E1c pre-registered) 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 23:51:44 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 dafbd8fd25 item 18 scored (uniform-depth collapse, CE depth-flatness mechanism); item 19 E1b pre-registered 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 23:42:31 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 ba95d2aa3d item 18 amendment: E1 arms moved to 4xH100 parallel + seed-1 arm added (pre-results) 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 23:28:38 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 357a5add06 E1 halting-gate machinery (adapter, trainer, gated eval) + pre-registration item 18 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 23:00:39 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 cb0f1d950c item 17 scored: GSM-only current recipe fails as predicted; GSM chapter closed 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 21:14:58 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 2cd1f37f5f protocol: principled exclusion note for the design-space x GSM8K matrix 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 21:03:38 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 ed5455277b pre-register item 17: GSM-only prompt-only arm (last missing cell of the GSM question) 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 21:01:23 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 d81afef488 items 16 + 15-closure scored: cross-task transfer toxic (task-locality confirmed 3-point); noise-s0 50%+ was a lucky seed 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 20:57:44 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 1e6473e1aa parcae seed 1: fidelity refutation replicates (easy ~71-73% both seeds) 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 20:56:28 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 cf9e38f858 h2048 outcome: per-depth exonerated (sharing >> time-variation at matched params); ceiling nudged upward 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 15:00:32 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 f0e524cf68 noise-s0 exceeds prediction upward; seed arms queued and pre-registered 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 13:01:14 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 ebf0eb8f49 pre-register item 16: code->GSM8K cross-task transfer 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 12:54:58 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 fb5fb13806 tied-alpha outcome: all predictions confirmed; free B causally isolated as fidelity culprit 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 04:13:11 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 0a5cd80dc1 halting probe: output-stable orbit, not state fixed point; no free ACT at state level; paper claims softened 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 03:29:26 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 b53538e82c per-depth outcome scored (depth-stranded content, shared-tail rescue); kcurves updated with k=8 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 03:20:49 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 0e6d6adcb9 fidelity factorial arms (randk / noises0 / hidden-capacity) + pre-registration item 15 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 02:47:14 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 d39e02f4b9 parcae outcome scored: dynamics confirmed, fidelity refuted -- stability and fidelity are independent dials 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 02:38:51 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 16f4a057aa TiedAlphaAdapter: learned per-dim alpha with tied B (anchored by construction); pre-registration item 14 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 02:33:14 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 1076d57d96 rec arm outcome: rho->4.5 (norm-projected churn), prediction (a) confirmed through k=8; k16/32 cancelled 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 01:39:22 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 d00f120f27 PerDepthAdapter (Bae-style per-iteration merges) + convergence-halting probe (free ACT); pre-registration item 13 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 01:07:01 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 f254b20b62 ParcaeAdapter: rho(A)<1 by construction (ZOH negative-diag), rho logging in rec arms, pre-registration item 12 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 00:53:34 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 d2da8044c3 RecurrentAdapter arm: Huginn-regime retrofit (learned A/B, noise h0, randomized depth) + pre-registration item 11 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-15 00:49:44 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 87308cfb0b score outcomes against pre-registered protocol items 1-10 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-14 15:48:36 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 674b814b65 pre-register L9 discriminator arm 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-14 09:57:04 +02:00
NilsandClaude Fable 5 6c39c38eb9 track protocol pre-registrations and interim report in git 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-14 02:54:52 +02:00