noise-s0 exceeds prediction upward; seed arms queued and pre-registered

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Nils
2026-07-15 13:01:14 +02:00
co-authored by Claude Fable 5
parent ebf0eb8f49
commit f0e524cf68
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@@ -269,3 +269,15 @@ pointless, learnable-B harmful, per-depth strands the gain.
(c) overall at k>0 below k=0 (no rescue). If instead hard gains (c) overall at k>0 below k=0 (no rescue). If instead hard gains
appear (>5 points), plan-shaped content is partially task-general — appear (>5 points), plan-shaped content is partially task-general —
would weaken the task-local claim from LCB. would weaken the task-local claim from LCB.
--- Amendment to item 15 (2026-07-15 ~13:15): noise-s0 arm EXCEEDED
prediction (b) upward: hard 50.0/53.6/50.0 at k=2/4/8 with easy 88-90%
— nominally the best hard cells of the project (merge best 46.4; seed
mean 37.5±5.5). Paired vs tied-alpha (only same-day per-item baseline):
discordants 5-1/3-0/3-0 in noise-s0's favor, each k p≈0.22-0.25 at n=28
— consistent direction, not individually significant. Denoising
interpretation: training the loop to reach the fixed point from noise
regularizes the content. SEED ARMS QUEUED (s1, s2, same recipe/eval,
pre-registered here): if seed-mean hard(k=4) > 46.4 (the merge's best
single cell), the recommended recipe gains noise-s0; if seed mean falls
back into 37-46, it was a lucky seed.